Archive for the ‘AUD News Data’ Category

Jan
23/12
Forex News Trading: Trades for Tuesday, Jan 24, 2012
Last Updated on Monday, 23 January 2012 03:13
Written by Barry Battista
Monday, January 23rd, 2012

Barry

8:30 AM Eastern
CAD Core Retail Sales – Change in the value of sales at the retail level
USD/CAD

I don’t have much in the way of good notes on this for the last 3 months because I didn’t trade it. What I do have looks like the biggest spike we saw was 11 pips in any of the months. The reason I included it here is because we are starting to see a bit of a resurgence in the CAD trades. I think it is worth a try, albeit with very conservative lot sizes.

ORACLE TRADER – this is really tough. I’d try .4 medium and .7 safe, trading 1/3 your normal lots on a medium and 1/2 on a safe. I doubt it will hit these deviations.

STRADDLE V1.3 – set maxSpread to 6 or 7. Get out fast if there is no movement.

STRADDLE PRO – set Buy and Sell Triggers to .2 and check the row 1 box. You might want to lower your spread numbers a bit from the defaults. Also set either trailing stop or take profit, and use the stop line to take your trades out.

7:30 PM Eastern
AUD CPI q/q – Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.
AUD/USD

This has quite a good history. In April it came out at .4 and .2 with a 32 pip spike, small retracement, and continuation to 45 pips in 7 minutes. We were printing money at the time, and the presses were running strong for this trade. In July it came out at .2, .2, and .4 with a 60 pip spike, small retracement, and continuation to north of 100 pips in 6 or 7 minutes. Made another killing here. In October, with the markets well on the way into their freefall, we saw 0 and .3 but still got a 33 pip spike. It retraced 15 or 20 pips fast, then continued back into the 40 pip neighborhood.

Watch out for early moves or late data. Lets not get caught off guard if screwy things happen. If they don’t, we will likely see a decent trade. If it spikes early (before you are in), turn off the OT or disable EAs on your MT4.

ORACLE TRADER – try .2 medium and .3 safe. Trade 1/2 lots on a medium and 3/4 or more on a safe.

STRADDLE V1.3 – try maxSpread of 9. Might want to set buy/sellPips to 7 or 8, or more.

STRADDLE PRO – set Buy/Sell Triggers to .1 and check the box. Set buy/sellPips to at least 7. Might want to set stopLoss to 0.0. I’d still trade this somewhat conservatively.

Jan
22/12
Forex News Trading: Trades for week of January 22 thru 27, 2012
Last Updated on Monday, 23 January 2012 01:15
Written by Barry Battista
Sunday, January 22nd, 2012

Barry

This is what we have coming up this week. I would continue to trade the UK and US releases very lightly, though the UK Preliminary GDP q/q is traditionally one of the biggest movers there is. Read the detailed review I post on Tuesday for some additional thoughts. I plan to avoid the US releases, like Fridays Advance GDP q/q, until I start to see some consistency of movement in the US stuff.

Tue 1/24 8:30 AM – CAD Core Retail Sales (Straddle maybe)
Tue 1/24 7:30 PM – AUD CPI q/q (Straddle)
Wed 1/25 4:30 AM – UK Prelim GDP q/q (Straddle)
Wed 1/25 3:00 PM – NZD Official Cash Rate

Aug
09/11
Forex News Trading: Trade for Wednesday, August 10, 2011
Last Updated on Tuesday, 9 August 2011 05:45
Written by Barry Battista
Tuesday, August 9th, 2011

Barry

Sorry for the lateness of the post. I foolishly booked the last flight out of New York last night. trying to extend the stay as long as possible. Left New York late this morning, the stay getting extended further due to the … uh … thoughtfulness of United. Just getting situated…..

9:30 PM Eastern
AUD Employment Change – Change in the number of employed people for the last month.
AUD/USD

This is a good trade. In May we had a deviation of -39.1 and 0 (2 rows of data) with a 60 pip spike, a pause, and a continuation another 20 pips in 1 minute. In an hour it had moved 118 pips. In June we saw -17.2 and 0 with a 40 pip spike, small retracement, and continued push to a total of 85 pips in 5 minutes. In July we had only an 8.4 and 0 deviation but still saw a 45 pip spike with small retracement and continued push.

So it looks like we can expect a decent spike whether we get a big deviation or not. I will still exercise some caution on the OT. Remember, the normal behavior of AUD releases is for the data to come out 3 seconds or so after the posted release time. If it happens this way, don’t be surprised. Here is my recommendation:

ORACLE TRADER: Set the medium trigger to 10 and the safe to 18, trading 1/2 your normal lots on a medium and full lots on a safe. If you see a spike before the data comes out, click out of the trade.

STRADDLE V1.3 – set maxSpread to 15 and buyPips/sellPips to 10. Just watch out for the pre-news movement.

STRADDLE PRO – set Buy and Sell Trigger to 6 and check the box at the end of row 1. Set buyPips/sellPips to 10 (to add a margin of protection against getting taken in before the news comes out), OCO to n, and stopLoss to 20.0 minimum.

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