Archive for the ‘News Trade Calls’ Category

May
13/12
Forex News Trading: Trades for Week of May 13 thru 18, 2012
Last Updated on Sunday, 13 May 2012 10:19
Written by Barry Battista
Sunday, May 13th, 2012

Barry

Before getting into the upcoming trades I have a couple things to mention.

First, lets talk about the Straddle training videos that Larry and I have recorded. I should have made this clear when I alerted everyone to them. These videos are specifically geared toward teaching Straddle users some of the functional details of the product. They are not available for non-Straddle customers to watch. We may make some general sales videos that would be available to everyone, but these are designed to be of value only to Straddle users. So if you are not a Straddle customer, please do not request to have access to them. Sorry I didn’t mention this sooner.

Second, on the High Odds Trading blog today I will put out a post discussing the CAD Employment Change trade from last Friday and, related to this, how I deal with leverage and brokers. I think this will be valuable for many of you.

There is a trade tonight at 6:45 PM, the NZD Retail Sales q/q. Problem is that the markets will have just opened and liquidity will be very light. This has a history of late data, no data at all, and thrashing around before the trade. If you lose more than coffee money on it, you were in way too heavily. Straddlers should use a Buy/Sell Trigger of 2 if you must try it. I’ll go easy on the must try folks since I will be numbered among them. Certainly don’t get up for this if it is in the middle of the night for you.

Tue 5/15 8:30 AM – US Core CPI
Tue 5/15 8:30 AM – US Core Retail Sales (yup, it’s not a misprint. They are both at the same time)
Fri 5/18 8:30 AM – CAD Core CPI

Ugh. That’s it. This really represents only 2 trades. We will do the US Retail Sales and the CAD trade. As you might imagine, there is a great deal of risk involved in the US trade due to the CPI coming out at the same time.

May
10/12
Forex News Trading: Trade for Friday, May 11, 2012
Last Updated on Thursday, 17 May 2012 10:25
Written by Barry Battista
Thursday, May 10th, 2012

Barry

Before I launch into tomorrows trade, there are a couple things I want to mention.

It looks like the UK Official Bank Rate trade took a pretty decent move to the north, and a number of traders made a few pips off the trade. Congratulations to those traders. It seems a number of you have a desire to trade these Interest Rate trades, which is great. Be cautions and over time you will get used to the types of movement to expect. Most of the time there is no change in the rate but there can be substantial movement anyway based on what is being said during the announcement. A friend is setting up a live “squawk” service in which you will be able to hear exactly what is being said. I’m not sure how this will work at the moment, but the intention is to tie into that to provide Interest Rate traders with more information.

8:30 AM EDT
CAD Employment Change – change in the number of employed people for the previous month.
EUR/CAD or USD/CAD

Well, once again they have moved this release from the normal time of 7:00 AM to 8:30 AM. There is a US release at 8:30, the US PPI, which could cause some issues trading the USD/CAD so I would recommend trading the EUR/CAD to avoid any conflict. The spread is higher on this pair so you might want to adjust your acceptableSpread and maxSpread to compensate.

In February we saw -19 and .1 with a 17 pip spike and full retracement in a couple minutes. In March we saw -17.8 and -.2 with a 9 pip spike followed by a hard 19 pip push in the opposite direction. This was due to row 2 coming out in opposition to row 1. This is something to keep a close eye on. In April we saw an enormous deviation of 71.8 and -.2 with a nice 48 pip spike on the EUR/CAD. Retraced a bit and continued down into the 60 pip neighborhood where it stayed for 20 minutes. Should have moved farther but a good move nonetheless.

I would not expect a deviation quite that large again this month but it is not unusual to see good deviations on this trade. Like always, and particularly if you are planning to trade higher lots than normal, be highly alert to pre-news movement and be ready to click out if you see anything suspicious. Be safe, not sorry.

ORACLE TRADER – set medium to 25 and safe to 35, trading 1/2 your normal lots on a medium and full lots on a safe

STRADDLE V1.3 – set maxSpread to 12 or 13 on the EUR/CAD or 8 to 9 on the USD/CAD. I’d get out fast if you see less than about a 30 pip spike.

STRADDLE PRO – set Buy/Sell Trigger to 15 and check the row 1 box. You might want to increase acceptable and maxSpread if you are trading the EUR/CAD. I will use trade management on most of my stations to take out 25 to 50% after the spike. I recommend refreshing your atomic clock sync software, if you have it, no more than a minute before the trade.

Really hoping to see a nice end to an otherwise good trading week….

May
09/12
Forex News Trading: Trade for Thursday, May 10, 2012
Last Updated on Wednesday, 9 May 2012 12:17
Written by Barry Battista
Wednesday, May 9th, 2012

Barry

7:00 AM EDT
UK Official Bank Rate – rate at which banks lend to each other
GBP/USD

Evidently 61 economists weighed in on this, and it was unanimous. Rates will not change. If they do, which is highly unlikely, a hole in your roof is a strong likelihood.

Straddle traders are taking a risk by trading this.

ORACLE TRADER – set safe to .25. Go all in.

STRADDLE V1.3 – set maxSpread to 7 and set buy/sellPips to at least 10. Get out fast if you don’t see any movement within the first few seconds after the release time.

STRADDLE PRO – set Buy/Sell Trigger to .25. If you want to get out right away, check the box. If you want to leave your trades in for awhile, don’t check the box. Set buy/sellPips to at least 10.

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