Archive for the ‘US News Data’ Category

Mar
11/12
Forex News Trading: Trades for week of Mar 11 thru 15, 2012
Last Updated on Sunday, 11 March 2012 06:20
Written by Barry Battista
Sunday, March 11th, 2012

Barry

Sorry for the late post. Family was here visiting and didn’t leave till this evening.

Well, as is typical following a big week like last week, this upcoming week is really pathetic. I will use the break to study preNewsRiskAlg 2 as it seems it has developed some issues. There are plenty of trades to test it on. I will keep you all posted if I find anything wrong. I will post 1 trade for next week but it is not even a really good one. Feel free to try red folder trades from www.ForexFactory.com if you just can’t stand to not be trading, but trade very conservatively as your odds are quite bad for most of them. Just because ForexFactory characterizes them as red folder doesn’t mean they are necessarily acceptable to a news trader. The following week there a few decent opportunities, though they are mostly UK trades.

Tue 8:30 AM EST – US Core Retail Sales

Hhmmm…. looks mighty lonely there all by itself. But I’d rather trade only once than do a bunch of trades where the odds of making money are really bad.

Mar
08/12
Forex News Trading: Trades for Friday, March 9, 2012
Last Updated on Thursday, 8 March 2012 06:22
Written by Barry Battista
Thursday, March 8th, 2012

Barry

I’ll be gone all day today and forgot to do this yesterday, so groggily here it is.

7:00 AM EST
CAD Employment Change – Change in the number of employed people for the previous month
USD/CAD

In December, we saw -38.1 and .1 with a 38 pip spike, 50% retracement, and continuation to about 40 pips. In January, we saw -2.5 and .1 with a 22 pip spike. This is a very small deviation for this release. In February we saw -19 and .1 with a 17 pip spike and full retracement in a couple minutes.

This can be a good mover if we get a deviation over 25 to 30. Otherwise don’t expect much.

ORACLE TRADER – try 25 medium and 35 safe. Trade 1/2 your normal lots on a medium and full lots on a safe.

STRADDLE V1.3 – set maxSpread to 8. Get out right after the initial spike.

STRADDLE PRO – I’d set Buy/Sell Trigger to 20 and check the row 1 box. ALso get out after the initial spike unless the deviation is a minimum of mid 30′s. Then you might want to close some and wait to see if we get further movement.

8:30 AM EST
US Non-Farm Payroll – Change in the number of employed people for the previous month less changes in the farming industry.
EUR/JPY

In December we saw -5 and .4 with an 11 pip spike. These are bizarre numbers. In January we saw 45 and -.2 with a 19 pip spike. It spiked down 5 pips a couple seconds before the news, then spiked up 19, then thrashed around not sure what it wanted to do. In February we saw 103 and -.2, which are huge numbers. It spiked 38, retraced slightly, push on to 45, and then eventually retraced.

Be careful with this.

ORACLE TRADER – try medium of 60 and safe of 85, trading 1/2 your normal lots on a medium and 3/4 on a safe.

STRADDLE V1.3 – set maxSpread to 7, buy/sellPips to at least 7, and get out after the spike.

STRADDLE PRO – set Buy/Sell Triggers to 50 and check the box. Set buy/sellPips to at least 7. Use trailing stop or take profit.

Mar
04/12
Forex News Trading: Trades for week of Mar 4 thru 9, 2012
Last Updated on Sunday, 4 March 2012 10:30
Written by Barry Battista
Sunday, March 4th, 2012

Barry

Well, after a surprisingly smooth trip we have arrived at our destination, where we will hang out for the next month. But not beaches nor sleep nor partying will interrupt the news poster from his appointed rounds … or something.

We have a few interest rate trades this week but it doesn’t appear any are expected to change, so these will likely be non-events. Straddlers can try any of them but should be careful to set buy/sellPips high enough to not get taken in prematurely, though the new release will help protect you from losses if this happens. The 2 best trades of the month are this week also; the AUD and CAD Employment trades. Here are the ones I would recommend. The UK trades are still not performing well so I will not likely get up for them, but will post for those who are insomniacs or who are up anyway.

Mon 3/5 4:28 AM – UK Services PMI (Straddle)
Mon 3/5 10:30 PM – AUD Cash Rate
Tue 3/6 7:30 PM – AUD GDP q/q (Straddle)
Wed 3/7 7:30 PM – AUD Employment Change
Thu 3/8 7:00 AM – UK Official Bank Rate
Thu 3/8 7:45 AM – EUR Minimum Bid Rate
Thu 3/8 9:00 AM – CAD Overnight Rate
Fri 3/9 4:30 AM – UK Industrial Production (Just need someone to watch this and post the results)
Fri 3/9 7:00 AM – CAD Employment Change (Straddle)
Fri 3/9 8:30 AM – US Non-Farm Employment Change (Straddle)

Hopefully we can make a few bucks this week. Everyone should be using the new version of the software. I’m anxious to see how it performs.

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