Posts Tagged ‘stock market’

Mar
17/09
Weekly Forex Market Outlook
Last Updated on Tuesday, 17 March 2009 02:49
Written by Derek Frey
Tuesday, March 17th, 2009

Forex Market Driven by Stock Market

This week we are faced with a market that is trying to hold onto last weeks gains.  The stock market seems to be the driver of movement at the moment.  We expect a slow roll over in stocks this week followed by one final thrust higher and then we turn again and retest the lows.  Overall the outlook for stocks remains bleak.  We expect to see many pairs begin to move outside of established ranges in the coming weeks.

EUR/USD

This pair is trying to push above 1.30 but seems to have hit at least a short term wall.  We expect to see this pair chop lower this week but longer term we are looking to buy into these dips as they come.

GBP/USD

This pair is struggling to break away from 1.40.  We expect another spike to 1.43 or so but after that we see another leg down taking us back to the mid 130’s later in April.

USD/CHF

This pair is still recovering from the huge short squeeze we saw last week.  I must say that was very well done.  We are looking for a few more spikes to or even through 1.19 again to sell into as we expect this pair to grind lower over the coming months.

USD/JPY

This pair is easy to call.  Last few weeks I have repeatedly said we will see 95 before we see 100 and I have said that when the pair is trading at 99.  I am saying that again.  We will see 95 before we see 100 and we are again shorting near 99.

AUD/USD

This pair is a great short above .66.  We are looking for this pair to correct back into the low 60’s in the coming days and weeks so we are clearly biased to selling rallies.

USD/CAD

This pair is also choppy and sloppy as always but near term we like longs near 1.27 and then getting short again above the 1.2850 level.

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Nov
20/08
Bank Flow Update Nov. 20
Last Updated on Thursday, 20 November 2008 09:59
Written by admin
Thursday, November 20th, 2008

Stock Market Hits Historic Lows

We have seen historic lows this week in the stock market. This coupled with the sagging global economy has driven some of the wild moves we have seen across the currencies.

New Bank Flow Levels

We have a few new bank flow levels to make you aware of. First on the GBP/USD we are seeing a buy zone set up from 1.4725 down to 1.4700. We are looking for the GBP to spike into this area for a bounce.  There is some previous supports in this area too so we are using that as an additional confirmation.

Trading Strategy

A very similar situation is setting up on the EUR/USD. A buy zone is in place from 1.2410 down to 1.2370. When there is a “zone” like this, one suggested trading strategy would be to use a lighter size trade at the first level and then if the market spikes to the next level add on another trade portion.

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