Posts Tagged ‘Traders’

Jun
24/09
US Durable Goods Report
Last Updated on Wednesday, 24 June 2009 07:30
Written by dustin pass
Wednesday, June 24th, 2009
TRADE CALL RECAP

For our last live trade call, we were watching the Canadian Retail Sales report last Friday. I suggested raising the medium trigger to 0.6% and the safe trigger to 1.0% as this release has not had a big impact on the market recently. The actual number came out with a deviation of -0.4%, so it did not meet our raised triggers. The USDCAD did move approximately 25 pips in the right direction, so that is a good sign.

View the video for this trade below:

[kml_flashembed movie="http://www.youtube.com/v/8OwfbmLi3lE" width="425" height="344" allowfullscreen="true" fvars="fs=1" /]

OUR NEXT LIVE ON THE NEWS TRADE CALL

Tomorrow we will have an opportunity for a trade when the US Durable Goods report is released at 8:30 am EDT. We will be focusing on the US Core Durable Goods figure, which is expected to be -0.2%. We will be looking for a deviation of 2.0% on this report to trigger a safe trade. A higher than expected number will trigger a buy on the USDJPY and EURJPY.

We will likely prefer a sell trigger on this release as the USDJPY and EURJPY are currently in a down trend. We should still be able to trade a buy trigger, but we will likely look to close out quickly once we see 15-20 pips if it triggers a buy. We will need to be careful tomorrow as this release has not had a very strong impact on the market lately. In addition, the FOMC rate decision will be coming out tomorrow afternoon so there might be some higher volatility on the USD crosses tomorrow morning in anticipation of that release.

This report last met our safe trigger in March, and we had traders report profits up to 10-15 pips on the trade. The chart below shows the movement of the USDJPY at the time of this release. At the time of March’s release, the EURJPY moved approximately 35 pips.

To see the video of March’s trade, click on the link below:

[kml_flashembed movie="http://www.youtube.com/v/h8lSSD5Gves" width="425" height="344" allowfullscreen="true" fvars="fs=1" /]

This is our current outlook for this trade; however, it is subject to change as market conditions may change by tomorrow. Be sure to log in to the Live Trade Room 15 minutes prior to the release to get my commentary on this potential trade.

Good Luck!!!!

HOW TO TRADE THE FREE CALLS

If this is the first time you are receiving my trade calls, please visit…

http://www.forextradersdaily.com/signals.htm

for important information on how to use my calls.

WOULD YOU LIKE ME TO COACH YOU THROUGH
THIS TRADE IN REALTIME TOMORROW?

Then visit: http://www.forextradersdaily.com/forex2.php

Apr
27/09
Weekly Forex Market Outlook
Last Updated on Monday, 27 April 2009 09:53
Written by Derek Frey
Monday, April 27th, 2009

Market Remains Volatile

The majors continue to correct this week.  I am expecting the Dollar to gain more strength this week on the back of the “stress tests”.  Overall look for this market to remain very volatile.  Bias remains to the buy side on the Dollar on major breaks.

EUR/USD:

This pair is moving sideways in a wide channel at this time and I expect it to retest both sides of the range this week.

GBP/USD:

This pair is also a sell on rallies this week.  I am looking for a bounce here early this week but after that we are sellers again.  Same comments as last week, worked then and I expect it will work again.

USD/CHF:

This pair broke hard.  We have now seen it fall back below 1.15.  I am a seller near 1.15 near term but remain cautious with this pair at these levels.  I would prefer to see a retest of 1.17 to sell into again.

USD/JPY:

This pair has now corrected to the 96 level which I mentioned in past issues.   We are buyers near 96 targeting a move back to and ultimately through 100.

AUD/USD:

This pair did find resistance at 73 and then fell below 70 exactly as we forecasted in the last issue.  This pair has rolled over and we are sellers of major rallies this week.

USD/CAD:

This pair did blow off to 1.25 as I warned in the last issue only to then fall also as forecasted.  I remain biased to selling into rallies over the longer term but early this week I am a light buyer near the 1.21 level.

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Mar
17/09
Live Forex Trade Call for March 18, 2009
Last Updated on Tuesday, 17 March 2009 05:33
Written by dustin pass
Tuesday, March 17th, 2009

FOREX TRADE CALL RECAPS

Canadian Labor Change Report

The last trade call I sent out covered the Canadian Labor Change report and the Canadian and US Trade Balance reports from last Friday. For the Canadian Labor Change report, we were looking to long the USDCAD or EURCAD if the number came out at least 15k worse than expected. The actual deviation was -27.6k, so it met our safe trigger and we entered a long trade. The EURCAD moved about 50 pips and the USDCAD moved about 40 pips from the pre-release price, and we had traders report profits of up to 30 pips on this particular trade. To see a video of this trade, click on the link below:

Canadian and US Trade Balance Report

For the Canadian and US Trade Balance, I suggested that you focus on the Canadian Trade Balance report as it is typically a better mover when it meets the safe deviation. This report came out with no deviation from the expected number so it did not meet our trigger and we didn’t enter this trade. For the US Trade Balance, I suggested not to trade it or at least increase the trigger to $3 or $4 Billion. The actual number came out $2 Billion better than expected, so it did not meet the higher trigger. However, we had a few traders that left their safe trigger at $1.5 Billion, so they entered this trade. Most of them reported minimal gains of up to 5 pips on the trade. To see the video with these two trades, click on the link below:

OUR NEXT LIVE ON THE NEWS FOREX TRADE CALL

Tomorrow we will have an opportunity to trade live on the news when the US CPI report will be released at 8:30 am EDT. We will be focusing on the US CPI Excluding Food & Energy figure. The expectation for this report is 0.1%. We will be looking for a deviation of 0.1% on this report to trigger a safe trade.

We will be extremely cautious on this particular release as the reaction lately has had a tendency to initially go in the wrong direction. We may increase the trigger for this trade to 0.2% or just wait for a post-spike trade. I would prefer to see a buy trigger on this as the GBPUSD seems to have bottomed out and is making a run higher.

This report last met the 0.1% trigger last month and the GBPUSD initially moved in the wrong direction. I suggested another entry point and from there it dropped back to where most traders had the opportunity to get out with overall profits. The movement of the GBPUSD around the time of last month’s release is below:

uscpi02-20-09

We did not get a video of last month’s Forex trade, but to see a video of January’s trade, click on the link below:

This is our current outlook for this trade; however, it is subject to change as Forex market conditions may change by tomorrow. Be sure to log in to the Live Trade Room 15 minutes prior to the release to get my commentary on this potential trade.

Good Luck!!!!

HOW TO TRADE THE FREE CALLS

If this is the first time you are receiving my trade calls, please visit…

http://www.forextradersdaily.com/signals.htm

for important information on how to use my calls.

WOULD YOU LIKE ME TO COACH YOU THROUGH

THESE TRADES IN REALTIME TOMORROW?

Then visit: http://www.forextradersdaily.com/forex2.php

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