Posts Tagged ‘US Durable Goods’

Dec
22/10
Trades for Thursday, December 23, 2010
Last Updated on Thursday, 23 December 2010 12:33
Written by Barry Battista
Wednesday, December 22nd, 2010

Barry
As I have mentioned, the trades for this week and next are much higher risk that in non-holiday times of the year due to reduced liquidity in the market.  If you have anything else to do, like maybe starting your Christmas shopping early, you should feel guilt-free by opting out of these.  I will post some triggers anyway.

8:30 AM EST

CAD GDP m/m – Change in value of goods and services produced by the economy

EUR/CAD

This has moved fairly well in the past with .2 and .3, but that is not really an indication of what it will do tomorrow.  And since there is a US release at the same time, we must trade the EUR/CAD which has a big spread.  I would trade .3 and .4 for medium and safe on row 1.  Trade 1/5 of your normal lots on the medium and 1/3 on the safe if you must do some trading.  Needless to say, do not try the Straddle.

8:30 AM EST

US Durable Goods – Change in the total value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers for durable goods, excluding transportation items.

USD/JPY

This is not a great trade even in good market conditions.  Last month it came out at -3.3, a nice deviation, and spiked 10 pips in the wrong direction.  Prior to that, it has not deviated enough to measure the spike without a micrometer.  I would pass on it, but again if you must, try 5 medium and 7 safe, trading small fractions of your normal lots on each.  No Straddle.

That is it for the week.  There are no trades on Friday.  A quick glance at next week indicates that there are no trades at all.  The banks are closed around the world on Monday and many on Tuesday also.  There are one or two releases that I might try in other months, but it would be senseless to try them next week.  We will start up again on the first week of January.  I hope you all have a great Christmas and New Year.  Be safe and lets hit this thing hard after the first of the year.  I hope you have enjoyed the posts, and more importantly, I hope you have been profitable.

Barry

Tags: ,   |  Posted under News Trade Calls  |  Comments  1 Comment
Dec
18/10
Trades for week of December 19 – 24
Last Updated on Monday, 20 December 2010 03:34
Written by Barry Battista
Saturday, December 18th, 2010

Barry

We have a few trades that are normally pretty good coming up this week, but since we are now into the holiday season we will likely experience some strange market conditions. Some examples are muted moves, exaggerated moves on meaningless data, and/or moves that spike hard in the right direction but spike equally hard back in the other direction as though they hit a wall.  Also some of these trades have other data coming out at the same time that can cause issues.  The US and British GDP are both Final GDPs, which have the least impact of the 3 types of GDP releases.  My daily recommendations will account for this.  I have placed LOTN (Live On The News) next to all trades that will be in the trade room.

Tue 12/21  7:00 AM EST    CAD Core CPI m/m (LOTN)

Tue  12/21  8:30 AM EST    CAD Core Retail Sales m/m (LOTN)

Wed 12/22 4:30 AM EST    GBP GDP Final q/q (LOTN)

Wed 12/22  8:30 AM EST   US  GDP Final q/q (LOTN)

Wed 12/22  4:45 PM EST    NZD GDP q/q

Thu 12/23   8:30 AM EST   CAD GDP m/m (LOTN)

Thu 12/23  8:30 AM EST    US Core Durable Goods (LOTN)

Jun
24/09
US Durable Goods Report
Last Updated on Wednesday, 24 June 2009 07:30
Written by dustin pass
Wednesday, June 24th, 2009
TRADE CALL RECAP

For our last live trade call, we were watching the Canadian Retail Sales report last Friday. I suggested raising the medium trigger to 0.6% and the safe trigger to 1.0% as this release has not had a big impact on the market recently. The actual number came out with a deviation of -0.4%, so it did not meet our raised triggers. The USDCAD did move approximately 25 pips in the right direction, so that is a good sign.

View the video for this trade below:

[kml_flashembed movie="http://www.youtube.com/v/8OwfbmLi3lE" width="425" height="344" allowfullscreen="true" fvars="fs=1" /]

OUR NEXT LIVE ON THE NEWS TRADE CALL

Tomorrow we will have an opportunity for a trade when the US Durable Goods report is released at 8:30 am EDT. We will be focusing on the US Core Durable Goods figure, which is expected to be -0.2%. We will be looking for a deviation of 2.0% on this report to trigger a safe trade. A higher than expected number will trigger a buy on the USDJPY and EURJPY.

We will likely prefer a sell trigger on this release as the USDJPY and EURJPY are currently in a down trend. We should still be able to trade a buy trigger, but we will likely look to close out quickly once we see 15-20 pips if it triggers a buy. We will need to be careful tomorrow as this release has not had a very strong impact on the market lately. In addition, the FOMC rate decision will be coming out tomorrow afternoon so there might be some higher volatility on the USD crosses tomorrow morning in anticipation of that release.

This report last met our safe trigger in March, and we had traders report profits up to 10-15 pips on the trade. The chart below shows the movement of the USDJPY at the time of this release. At the time of March’s release, the EURJPY moved approximately 35 pips.

To see the video of March’s trade, click on the link below:

[kml_flashembed movie="http://www.youtube.com/v/h8lSSD5Gves" width="425" height="344" allowfullscreen="true" fvars="fs=1" /]

This is our current outlook for this trade; however, it is subject to change as market conditions may change by tomorrow. Be sure to log in to the Live Trade Room 15 minutes prior to the release to get my commentary on this potential trade.

Good Luck!!!!

HOW TO TRADE THE FREE CALLS

If this is the first time you are receiving my trade calls, please visit…

http://www.forextradersdaily.com/signals.htm

for important information on how to use my calls.

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THIS TRADE IN REALTIME TOMORROW?

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