Posts Tagged ‘US Non-farm payroll’

Mar
08/12
Forex News Trading: Trades for Friday, March 9, 2012
Last Updated on Thursday, 8 March 2012 06:22
Written by Barry Battista
Thursday, March 8th, 2012

Barry

I’ll be gone all day today and forgot to do this yesterday, so groggily here it is.

7:00 AM EST
CAD Employment Change – Change in the number of employed people for the previous month
USD/CAD

In December, we saw -38.1 and .1 with a 38 pip spike, 50% retracement, and continuation to about 40 pips. In January, we saw -2.5 and .1 with a 22 pip spike. This is a very small deviation for this release. In February we saw -19 and .1 with a 17 pip spike and full retracement in a couple minutes.

This can be a good mover if we get a deviation over 25 to 30. Otherwise don’t expect much.

ORACLE TRADER – try 25 medium and 35 safe. Trade 1/2 your normal lots on a medium and full lots on a safe.

STRADDLE V1.3 – set maxSpread to 8. Get out right after the initial spike.

STRADDLE PRO – I’d set Buy/Sell Trigger to 20 and check the row 1 box. ALso get out after the initial spike unless the deviation is a minimum of mid 30′s. Then you might want to close some and wait to see if we get further movement.

8:30 AM EST
US Non-Farm Payroll – Change in the number of employed people for the previous month less changes in the farming industry.
EUR/JPY

In December we saw -5 and .4 with an 11 pip spike. These are bizarre numbers. In January we saw 45 and -.2 with a 19 pip spike. It spiked down 5 pips a couple seconds before the news, then spiked up 19, then thrashed around not sure what it wanted to do. In February we saw 103 and -.2, which are huge numbers. It spiked 38, retraced slightly, push on to 45, and then eventually retraced.

Be careful with this.

ORACLE TRADER – try medium of 60 and safe of 85, trading 1/2 your normal lots on a medium and 3/4 on a safe.

STRADDLE V1.3 – set maxSpread to 7, buy/sellPips to at least 7, and get out after the spike.

STRADDLE PRO – set Buy/Sell Triggers to 50 and check the box. Set buy/sellPips to at least 7. Use trailing stop or take profit.

Jun
02/11
Forex News Trading: Trades for Friday, June 3, 2011
Last Updated on Thursday, 2 June 2011 10:48
Written by Barry Battista
Thursday, June 2nd, 2011

Barry

There are two trades on Friday. One, the UK Services PMI, behaves exactly like the Wednesday UK Manufacturing PMI. The details follow.

4:28 AM EST
GBP Services PMI – Level of diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry.
GBP/USD

This is a Straddle only trade. You cannot trade it with the Oracle Trader. The posted time for the release is 4:30 AM but the data is released to one data service provider (Thomson Reuters) at exactly 4:28 AM. This means we cannot see the data for anywhere from 30 seconds to a couple minutes. So we are flying blind. However, the Straddle doesn’t care about data like the OT does, it only cares about the spike, and this thing has a great tendency to spike. In March, the data came out late by 10 seconds so I turned off the Straddle. In April we had a 29 pip spike, which took in all my Straddles. The data came in a minute later at an enormous 4.5. The move was slow and deliberate, It ran about 80 pips in 20 minutes. In May we saw a spike of 30 pips, but it retraced about half way over the next 2 minutes. The data came out at -1.7, which is not a great deviation for this release.

First of all, start your STPro. You should NOT click the box on the right of row 1. Just have it running so you can see when the actual data comes out and what it is. Next double click on the GBP/USD on your MT4 station to bring up a tick chart and move it out of the way but leave it up. Then start your Straddle EA and set it for 4:28 AM EST. You can leave everything at the defaults other than the lots and timer. Set the lots to whatever you are comfortable with. Both your pending orders should show up before 04:28:00. If neither of your pending orders goes to a Live order by 04:28:05 (5 seconds after the release time), Remove the Straddle from (more…)

May
01/11
Forex News Trading: Trades for week of May 1 thru May 6, 2011
Last Updated on Sunday, 1 May 2011 08:04
Written by Barry Battista
Sunday, May 1st, 2011

Barry

Looks like a decent week this week, as is usually the case with the first week of the month. Trades done live in the Trade Room are labeled with LOTN (Live On The News).

Mon 4/2 10:00 AM EST – US ISM Manufacturing PMI (LOTN)
Tue 4/3 12:30 AM EST – AUD Cash Rate
Tue 4/3 4:28 AM EST – GBP Manufacturing PMI
Wed 4/4 6:45 PM EST – NZD Employment Change
Web 4/4 9:30 PM EST – AUD Retail Sales
Thu 4/5 4:28 AM EST – GBP Services PMI
Thu 4/5 7:00 AM EST – GBP Official Bank Rate
Thu 4/5 7:45 AM EST – EUR Minimum Bid Rate
Fri 4/6 7:00 AM EST – CAD Employment Change (LOTN)
Fri 4/6 8:30 AM EST – US Non-farm Payroll (LOTN)

I will post details for each trade on the preceding day. If we have a week that is half as good as last week, it will be twice as good at the normal week, and there is a lot of potential here.

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