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This week we have a virtual tsunami of data coming out. We have 4 major central bank interest rate decisions starting on Tuesday with the RBA. Then on Wednesday we have the RBNZ, followed by both the ECB and BOE on Thursday. We end the week with Friday’s NFP report here in the US so…
Commodities are trying to hold onto the gains they have had as you can see in the CRB index. The CRB is building a bull flag on the daily charts. However, we do not see immediate upside follow through any time soon. We remain biased to expecting a pullback in commodities in the near term. …
General Market Comments: This week we have little in the way of major reports. The Dollar is trying to hold onto its bid but we see signs that the Dollar may pullback to retest prior lows in the near term. In a macro sense the Dollar continues to put in a bottom but on a…
Commodities remain the darling of the investment world. Let me briefly comment on something currently in the media. There is talk that speculators are responsible for the high price of Crude oil and other commodities. The people who make this argument clearly do not understand how markets work. Speculators are not responsible for the high…
This week we have a number of important reports coming out. CPI, being one of the key reports coming out. We expect CPI will show more inflationary pressures building. We also have a week full of Fed. speakers. We expect they will try to jawbone the Dollar higher by commenting on inflation. Look for any…
Commodities continue to try and hold these high levels but as a whole we see more and more cracks in the armor. With the exception of Crude Oil and Rice, most other major commodities are already well off of their highs. We continue to see a consolidation taking shape over the coming months and perhaps…
This week we have very few reports coming out so we should see a week with little to no trending action. We expect most of these markets to remain range bound throughout the week. Friday morning we have a few reports out that could give us some directional bias going into next week but again…
This week remains critical for the commodity complex. Commodities have seen incredible grown over the last 6 years or so and we continue to see signs that the bull is at the very least tired if not exhausted. We are using any remaining rallies to exit the few remaining longs we have and at the…
General Comments: Commodities have been trying to extend the rally we have seen but besides Crude Oil, most commodities are quite a bit below their highs. We are looking for a consolidation range to become the new near term norm. We are expecting a lot of two sided chop with little to no directional bias…
This week we have a full report schedule. We have both PPI and CPI coming out mid week and we are in the midst of earnings season. We expect to see more pressure on the Dollar as it continues to try and put a base in. We continue to expect the Dollar to bottom here…
Commodities continue to chop around trying to hang on to these high prices. We continue to expect them to move a bit lower in the near term as they consolidate the recent gains. Overall we are very cautious at this time as we have lots of volatility and little directional bias in the short term. …
This week we have BOJ, BOE, and ECB all announcing their own interest rate decisions. We expect BOJ and ECB to do nothing while BOE cuts rates. We do expect Trichet to be less hawkish in his tone this time around and that should take the idea of the Euro moving above 1.60 off of…